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During the next few weeks, we here at NFL.com will unveil our Most Underrated and Overrated Players of All Time for all 32 teams and allow users to determine their choices as well.. Unlike Lindsay, Williams can supplant Gordon at the goal line, and there's some possibility that Williams takes over the backfield right away. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. 54 touchdowns. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. Its a knock on his offensive line. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. Single However, Melvin Gordon III returning is the lynchpin for tepid upside expectations outside of a Gordon injury. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. The Top Ten. Overall: 98 and 96. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. He didnt have a top 5 offensive line, so that eliminates the argument that he was made by the offensive line. Washingtons offense ranked 21st in overall DVOA last season and doesnt project to improve much in 2022 despite the addition of Carson Wentz. This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. Here's our list of the greatest 30 running backs in NFL history. Then, two players were listed as being the most overrated compared to their draft projection. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. Adrian . Andrew Davenport: Montgomery was the 26th-ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest through nine games last year. Jerome Bettis 16. Got the exact same number of carries as Williams. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB9 | Consensus Projections RB9. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. Adrian Peterson 10. Yep. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. WHO ARE THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOTBALL RUNNING BACKS? While Jacobs is capable of a bell-cow role, McDaniels has a long history of maddening running back usage as the Patriots OC. Ronaldinho is also one of the finest players of all time and the global icon dazzled with his Brazilian flair for across Europe, most notably for Barcelona and AC Milan. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. Tony Dorsett 12. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. Drafting Jacobs around this price is drafting him at his ceiling -- perhaps even above it. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Without the volume, it is going to be difficult to get decent fantasy numbers. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. And was brought back by a new staff that keeps saying he will be a significant part of the offense. Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. His average DVOA of 0.085% would rank him 31st in the NFL in 2009, right behind Rashard Mendenhall. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. The fact is, he never . David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. But, man, there are all sorts of asterisks to add to that description. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. Drew Davenport: Through nine games last year, Montgomery was the 26th ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest. Then as soon as they go south, we pile on like kids in a mosh pit? The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Jeff Haseley: Chase Edmonds scored in five different games in 2020, exceeding eight carries in a game only twice in 15 qualifying games. Unfortunately, the odds are stacked against Kamara repeating as the best player in fantasy football. His current draft price is almost his upside. We've seen J.D. Andrew Davenport: Fantasy managers are drafting Carter as though he is the unquestioned starter. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB7. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. 3) Micah Richards. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. But drafting him as a high-upside No. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. His knee injury involved multiple ligament tears, and the Giants are likely to bring him along slowly. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. by | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. Preseason may help a little. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. Henry is all but guaranteed to regress after rushing for over 2,000 yards last season, and he doesnt catch enough passes. Chad Parsons: The price has vaulted up on Javonte Williams after a quality rookie season. Tarik Cohen, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB49 | Consensus Projections RB47. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. Here are the NFL running backs with the most career touchdown runs over 50 yards (based on stats through 2016). Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. At others, he made mistakes and was underused. Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. NFL career: 1988-91, all with Cincinnati Bengals (4 seasons) Statistics/16 games: 659.5 rush yards/4.6 yards per . Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. 15 receptions, 111 yards, less than a TD per year. J.D. USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. 25 Running Backs Overrated Players 10 Quarterbacks 12 Tight Ends 23 Wide Receivers 25 Running Backs Deep Sleepers 9 Quarterbacks 11 Tight Ends 15 Wide Receivers 13 Running Backs The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Sigmund Bloom: Anthony Lynn basically told us that he will run a committee of Swift and free agent pick Jamaal Williams when he called Williams his "A" back. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. Then we have the Taysom Hill conundrum. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. There have been personnel changes and a change in offensive coordinator to Matt Canada. Johnson himself has acknowledged it, and the backs' usage in the first preseason game indicates frustration for anyone wanting to farm this barren land. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. Jason Wood: Preseason depth charts aren't perfectly predictive, but the new Texans coaching staff clearly sent a message listing Johnson as the No. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. Gaskin is an easy fade at his current price. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. Martin is one of the best running backs of all time because he blended good ability with outstanding durability and versatility. The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. 2022/07/02 . However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? 1. So should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Barkley is a workhorse. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Its almost always the other way around for top tier RBs. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Gordon caught only 32 passes last year, and outside of three games where he scored two touchdowns, he was a mediocre fantasy back. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. Jeff Haseley: It's easy to succumb to the notion that Saquon Barkley is one of the best running backs in the league. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. He yields passing work to J.D. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. This is a major factor to any expectation that Robinson is fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the very early weeks in the season. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. Jordan McNamara: Like Gaskin, David Johnson is in a cloudy situation after Philip Lindsay drew the starting role in Houston in week 1. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. But he's 29, he's undersized, he had a hard time staying healthy last year, he adds little as a pass catcher, and the San Francisco backfield is awfully crowded now. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. This is exactly what the Steelers tried to do by selecting Najee Harris in the first round in the NFL Draft. Photo: Isaiah J. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. Eric Dickerson 8. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. Ricky Watters 20. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. I feel like most drafting Gordon right now are doing it on name value, but he now has plenty of competition with Javonte Williams and Mike Boone as priority adds this offseason. Links to similar discussions on other positions: 12 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends28 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 10 Quarterbacks12 Tight Ends23 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 9 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends15 Wide Receivers13 Running Backs. But just like Logan Thomas, McKissic benefitted from a perfect storm of low average depth of target throws from the quarterbacks last year and the lack of receivers outside of Terry McLaurin. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs. The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. Taylor can be a rock-solid option and still be pecked away with Hines and Mack enough to be more in the RB10-15 range. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. Tevin Coleman was specifically brought in because he knows the run-blocking schemes the Jets will employ this year, and Ty Johnson hasn't gone anywhere either. Adding another trip around the sun and competition from two young, capable running backs is the recipe for the bottom to fall out for Gordon. Durability is atop the list after missing six games last year. Simpson 13. Additionally, Brandon Bolden -- a member of Josh McDaniels' Patriot teams -- is with the club. So what's the concern? Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB14. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. Sigmund Bloom: There are too many forces that Barkley has to swim upstream again to justify taking Barkley at his lofty ADP. This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. I was reading an article the other day about the greatest power backs of all time and Jerome Bettis was third on the list (right behind Jim Brown and Larry Csonka and right ahead of Earl Campbell). And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. Mostert is now 29 years old and has the highest draft position of anyone in this stable of capable running backs. Williams is extremely talented, but as of now, it looks like this will be a split backfield. The Ravens have had the #1 rushing offense in the league for the last two years straight but have finished 31st overall in total running back targets in that same time span. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Avoid. The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. This is more important for Barkley than most backs because he relies on his immense gifts more than most backs. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. That looks like a mistake from where the situation sits now. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . Tevin Coleman is one of those veteran thorns in the sides of young backs to garner touches. I believe it is more accurate to measure a RB by per season averages, because running backs such as Jim Brown did not play long. If Johnson is the starter, he is probably a value where he is being drafted, but I'm not taking him at his current cost without some reassuring news about his role in the coming weeks. He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. Edmonds is a great player who offers a ton of talent on the field to help win games, but he will never be the high volume type of player that we are all desperately looking for each year. The more problematic issue is that the Texans are a train wreck. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. Compared to Jim Brown (5.2 YPC), Larry Csonka (4.3 YPC), and Earl Campbell (4.3 YPC). Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his current ADP of RB13 and 20th overall. Jamal Lewis 18. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. By the end of the year, that may change, but Etienne will be a change-of-pace and gadget player who might earn flex value this year until then. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. I understand the upside, but I don't want to take a huge miss if I'm drafting in Week 1. With the second-year back getting selected in the early second round of most drafts, fantasy managers must be expecting that trend to continue in 2021. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. Pat Fitzmaurice: The appeal is that he's an inexpensive lead back. Curtis Martin 11. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing. Yeah, us, too. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. Anthony Amico: The story with Gibson is somewhat similar to that of Jacobs but with a proof of concept already complete. . That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. only site on the planet. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB10. Even if he receives most of the early-down and passing game work, it still wont be very valuable on a putrid offense. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11.